The Bullfrog Effect
Sales Engineering Brief

Defeating Shahed Swarms
at Scale Requires Permanence

Interceptor drones reduce cost-per-kill versus missiles. They do not solve magazine depth. Against Iran's 80,000-drone arsenal, any single-use weapon creates a new attrition problem. Bullfrog solves both simultaneously.

$10
Bullfrog Cost/Kill
7.62mm NATO, ~20–40 rds/kill
$2,500–$500K
Interceptor Cost/Kill
Sting $2.5K · Roadrunner-M $300–500K — vs. $20–50K Shahed
80,000+
Iranian Drones In Arsenal
+500/month domestic production
$300M
Radar Lost, Bahrain
AN/TPS-59, destroyed by a $30K Shahed
700 ac
4× Bullfrog Coverage
600m range, 40% overlap — 2.83 km²
All C-UAS Systems — Head-to-Head
System Cost/Kill Platform Reusable Autonomous Operator Req. Static 24/7 Defense Engages Fast Variants
(Geran-3: 550+ km/h)
Magazine Depth Supply Chain
ACS Bullfrog — Autonomous Kinetic RWS
Bullfrog M2407.62mm NATO · 850 rds/min · 800m range ~$10 ✓ Unlimited — fires, reloads, fires ✓ Full AI — detect/track/engage <30 min · 1 operator ✓ Persistent 24/7 ✓ Bullet velocity ~2,800 ft/s ∞ NATO ammo US-Made · Austin TX
Bullfrog M2.50 cal (12.7mm) · 600 rds/min · 1,500m range ~$40 ✓ Unlimited ✓ Full AI <30 min · 1 operator ✓ Persistent 24/7 ✓ Extended range engagement ∞ NATO ammo US-Made · Austin TX
Ukrainian FPV Interceptors — Mass Attrition Model · Kamikaze / Kinetic Ram · FPV-Piloted
Sting / Sting-IIQuadcopter FPV · Wild Hornets · Kinetic ram/small warhead $2,100–2,500 ✗ Kamikaze — destroyed on kill ✗ Manual FPV pilot · VR goggles Trained FPV operator · 3+ days ✗ Sortie-based only ✗ ~315 km/h max — cannot catch Geran-3 = Stockpile Ukraine · Active warzone
P1-Sun (SkyFall)3D-printed hybrid quadcopter/fixed-wing · bullet-shaped ~$2,000 ✗ Kamikaze — destroyed on kill ✗ Manual FPV · some AI terminal FPV operator ✗ Sortie-based only ✗ ~350–400 km/h max = Stockpile Ukraine · 3D-printed at scale
General Cherry BulletFPV interceptor · high-speed quadcopter $3,000–5,000 ✗ Kamikaze — destroyed on kill ✗ Manual FPV FPV operator ✗ Sortie-based only ✗ ~300 km/h max = Stockpile Ukraine · Active warzone
Baton Copter / Baton WingMultirotor + fixed-wing dual-variant · EDRONE ~$2,500–4,000 ✗ Kamikaze — destroyed on kill ✗ Manual FPV FPV operator ✗ Sortie-based only ✗ Speed unconfirmed = Stockpile Ukraine · Active warzone
ODIN Win_HitPurpose-built FPV quadcopter · high-speed ~$2,000–3,000 ✗ Kamikaze — destroyed on kill ✗ Manual FPV FPV operator ✗ Sortie-based only ~ High-speed variant = Stockpile Ukraine · Active warzone
Ukrainian Semi-Autonomous Interceptors — AI-Assisted · Still Expendable
Tenebris BagnetFixed-wing autonomous · computer vision tracking · early 2024 Unknown ✗ Kamikaze — destroyed on kill ✓ Computer vision AI Minimal operator ✗ ~20 min endurance only ✗ ~250 km/h max = Stockpile Ukraine · Active warzone
Merops / SurveyorFixed-wing · AI tracking · Schmidt-backed / Western-funded ~$15,000 ✗ Destroyed on kill ~ AI navigation + tracking assist Ground crew + sensor network ~ Limited · not static persistent ✗ ~280 km/h max = Stockpile US-backed · UKR-sourced
MongooseJet-powered · designed reusable · multiple engagement — early development Unknown ~ Designed reusable — unproven at scale ~ Partial autonomy Operator + C2 network ~ Unclear in practice ~ Jet-powered — higher speed Reuse if survives Ukraine · Pre-production
Western High-End C-UAS — Different Mission Set / Cost Tier
Roadrunner-MTwin-turbojet VTOL · Anduril · Lattice AI · launches from "Nest" · Key Competitor $125K–$500K/unit ~ RTB reusable if no engagement · expendable on kill ✓ Fully autonomous · Lattice AI Network operators · IBCS integration ✓ Static Nest deployment ✓ High-subsonic · multi-mission = Units in Nest
(reuse if no target)
US-Made · Anduril
APKWS II / FALCOLaser-guided rocket · BAE / L3Harris · aircraft-launched $28,000 ✗ Single-use ✗ Laser-guided · requires designator Aircraft crew + laser designator ✗ Aircraft-dependent · not static ✓ Supersonic = Inventory US-Made
Coyote Block 3 / CLWSLoitering munition / directed energy hybrid · RTX $75,000+ ✗ Single-use (kinetic variant) ✓ Autonomous · FAAD C2 Trained operators · FAAD C2 required ✓ Static deployment capable ✓ High velocity = Inventory US-Made
Patriot PAC-3Ballistic missile defense · RTX · not designed for drone-class $4M–13.5M ✗ Single-use ~ Semi-automated 90 soldiers/battery · months to train ✓ Static emplacement ✓ Designed for ballistic threats Very limited
not drone-optimized
US-Made
Core Economic Argument

Ukrainian FPV interceptors ($2,500/kill) beat missiles on cost, but still cost more than many cheap attack drones they're targeting — and every kill consumes the weapon. Anduril's Roadrunner-M ($300K–$500K, nominally reusable) costs 6–10× more than the Shahed it intercepts. Reusability is only realized if the interceptor survives engagement — in sustained conflict, survival rates are not guaranteed. Bullfrog inverts the entire equation: $10/kill, platform never consumed, ammunition is globally abundant. The only system where defending is structurally cheaper than attacking at scale.

Shahed-136 Attack Cost
$20K–$50K
Roadrunner-M Intercept Cost
$300K–$500K
Costs more than the drone it kills
Bullfrog Intercept Cost
~$10
2,000–50,000× cheaper than target
Real Attacks — What Bullfrog Would Have Changed

NSA Bahrain — AN/TPS-59 Radar Destruction

Late February 2026 · Operation Epic Fury Retaliation

Value Destroyed / At Risk
$300,000,000
— What Happened
Asset attackedAN/TPS-59 Radar
Attack drones1 Shahed
Ballistic missiles0
Estimated attack cost~$30,000
Infrastructure destroyed$300,000,000
Only 360° mobile ballistic missile radar in the US inventory. A $30K drone destroyed a $300M system. Cost ratio: 10,000:1 attacker advantage.
— With Bullfrog Deployed
Bullfrog systems required4× M240
Total system cost$800,000
Ammunition to stop the drone~$10
Infrastructure saved$300,000,000
Systems remaining after engagementAll 4 — ready to fire
375:1
Infrastructure saved vs. system cost
One $30,000 Shahed destroyed the most capable mobile radar in the US arsenal. Four Bullfrog M240s on the perimeter: $800K system cost, ~$10 in ammunition to stop the drone. The radar cost 375× more than the system that would have protected it.

Al Udeid Air Base — Saturation Attack

February–March 2026 · Qatar · AN/FPS-132 Early Warning Radar Hit

Value Destroyed / At Risk
$1,100,000,000
— What Happened
Asset attackedAN/FPS-132 UEWR
Attack drones12
Ballistic missiles65
Missiles that penetrated2
Radar system value (Qatari FMS)$1.1B
— With Bullfrog Deployed
Bullfrog systems required8× M240
Total system cost$1,600,000
Ammo to stop all 12 drones~$360
APKWS cost for same 12 drones~$336,000
Patriot handles65 ballistic missiles (its designed role)
933:1
Drone-layer cost reduction vs. APKWS
Bullfrog and Patriot are complementary layers — not competing. Patriot handles the 65 ballistic missiles. Bullfrog handles the 12 drones for $360 in ammunition. Without Bullfrog, those 12 drones require APKWS at $28K/shot: $336,000 for the same kills.

Houthi Campaign — 2-Year Theater Attrition

2023–2025 · Red Sea / Gulf of Aden

US Defense Expenditure
$4,000,000,000+
— What Happened
Total attacks (2 years)700+
Iran/Houthi attack cost~$50M
US defense spend$4B+
Cost ratio (defense vs. offense)80:1
The US spent 80× more defending than Iran spent attacking. Every intercept with a $500K missile against a $35K drone worsens this ratio.
— With Bullfrog Deployed (16 systems, 4 Gulf bases)
System cost (16× Bullfrog)$3,200,000
~700 drone kills @ $10/kill~$7,000 ammo
Bullfrog drone-layer cost (2yr)~$3,207,000
Systems remaining after campaignAll 16 — intact
80:1
Current defense/offense cost ratio — Bullfrog inverts it
Ballistic missiles still require Patriot regardless. Bullfrog specifically addresses the drone layer — the portion of the campaign where cost asymmetry is most fixable. $3.2M total over 2 years vs. hundreds of millions spent on missile intercepts against drone targets.
Defense Mix Planner — 30-Day Sustained Campaign
Preset:
100drones
Iran: 200–500 produced/month
3waves
50total
Sting/Bullet @ $2,500 ea · single use · ~70% Pk
12total
APKWS @ $28–35K · single use · ~85% Pk air-to-air
0units
M240 @ $200K · ~15 kills/wave sustained · ∞ reloadable
Bullfrog Coverage Planner — Drag Nodes to Position
4
600m
Acres Defended
km² Coverage
System Cost (est.)
Drag green nodes to reposition.

Standard 4-unit diamond formation assumes ~40% circle overlap for redundant coverage — any approach vector engages two systems.

Standard deployment: 4× M240 at 600m = 700 acres (2.83 km²).
Patriot Battery Equivalent Cost